Orellana vs Zurbarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAC
2 - 1
ORE
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 4
MON
42%
25%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MCB
2 - 0
ORE
86%
11%
3%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +6 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ORE
0 - 2
MON
14%
24%
62%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
ADL
1 - 0
ORE
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
2 - 4
CAS
17%
22%
61%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
TAL
1 - 0
ZUR
59%
22%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |