Orellana vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 1
ORE
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 0
MAL
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CAC
1 - 0
ORE
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ORE
4 - 2
SAG
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
ORE
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TRU
2 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 2
TRU
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TRU
4 - 3
TOR
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CPC
2 - 1
TRU
67%
19%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
TRU
0 - 2
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |