Orellana vs Sagrada Cena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 4
ORE
48%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 0
AMA
19%
23%
58%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +3 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ORE
0 - 1
CAS
25%
24%
50%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TAL
3 - 1
ORE
42%
25%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 0
MAL
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sagrada Cena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAG
3 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
43%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TAL
3 - 1
SAG
32%
25%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAG
3 - 1
MAL
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
SAG
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 1
MOR
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |