Orellana vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GIM
2 - 2
ORE
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
ORE
4 - 1
ACD
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 0
ORE
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ORE
0 - 2
OLY
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
ORE
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MON
2 - 2
TRU
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
CNV
1 - 2
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MON
1 - 5
JER
20%
25%
56%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |