Orellana vs Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CAC
1 - 0
ORE
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ORE
4 - 2
SAG
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
ORE
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ORE
3 - 3
PLA
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 1
ORE
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 0
HER
27%
25%
49%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 0
MAL
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 2
TOR
60%
21%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CPC
5 - 1
MAL
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
CAS
20%
23%
58%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |