Orellana vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 0
ORE
42%
23%
34%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ORE
1 - 1
CDC
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SRE
1 - 1
ORE
65%
19%
15%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ORE
3 - 2
ADC
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CPC
2 - 0
ORE
58%
22%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
TRU
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CNV
0 - 2
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
GUA
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
HER
3 - 1
GIM
60%
22%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |