Orellana vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 1
ORE
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ORE
5 - 1
SAM
25%
25%
50%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
TRU
3 - 0
ORE
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ORE
2 - 2
ZUR
71%
18%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAC
2 - 1
ORE
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 1
GIM
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GIM
3 - 0
MAL
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
AMA
2 - 0
GIM
72%
17%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 2
GIM
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |