Orellana vs Gargáligas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 5
ORE
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ORE
3 - 1
CPC
43%
25%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
ORE
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ORE
4 - 2
CHI
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BRO
2 - 1
ORE
13%
20%
66%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gargáligas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 1
HER
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GAR
3 - 2
AMA
20%
23%
56%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 1
GAR
43%
25%
32%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
GAR
4 - 2
BRO
61%
21%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ARR
7 - 0
GAR
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |