Orellana vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
HER
0 - 6
ORE
51%
24%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ORE
0 - 0
COR
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 0
ORE
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 1
SAG
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 4
ORE
48%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
ARR
6 - 2
CAS
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 8
ARR
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ARR
5 - 0
MAL
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
4 - 1
ARR
32%
25%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ARR
4 - 1
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |