Orellana vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
ORE
24%
24%
53%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 1
GAR
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 5
ORE
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ORE
3 - 1
CPC
43%
25%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
ORE
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AMA
0 - 0
TRU
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
AMA
24%
25%
51%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
AMA
0 - 2
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GAR
3 - 2
AMA
20%
23%
56%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAL
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |