FK Orel vs Zenit Penza analysis

FK Orel Zenit Penza
39 ELO 38
-5.9% Tilt 6.2%
7798º General ELO ranking 7542º
110º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
58.2%
FK Orel
22.9%
Draw
18.9%
Zenit Penza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
FK Orel
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
Zenit Penza
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Orel
+58%
-21%
Zenit Penza

ELO progression

FK Orel
Zenit Penza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Orel
FK Orel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2012
POD
Podolye Podolskiy Rayon
4 - 1
FK Orel
ORE
47%
24%
29%
42 43 1 0
21 Jul. 2012
ORE
FK Orel
0 - 1
Lokomotiv Liski
LOK
37%
27%
36%
43 49 6 -1
16 Jul. 2012
FKG
Gubkin
1 - 0
FK Orel
ORE
55%
23%
22%
44 49 5 -1
04 Jun. 2012
ORE
FK Orel
3 - 0
Metallurg Oskol
MET
34%
26%
40%
41 48 7 +3
29 May. 2012
KAL
Kaluga
1 - 1
FK Orel
ORE
52%
24%
24%
42 47 5 -1

Matches

Zenit Penza
Zenit Penza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2012
ZEN
Zenit Penza
4 - 1
Metallurg Oskol
MET
22%
25%
53%
33 44 11 0
21 Jul. 2012
ZVE
FK Ryazan
1 - 0
Zenit Penza
ZEN
69%
19%
12%
34 42 8 -1
16 Jul. 2012
ZEN
Zenit Penza
2 - 3
Kaluga
KAL
29%
28%
43%
35 46 11 -1
04 Jun. 2012
MET
Metallurg Lipetsk
4 - 2
Zenit Penza
ZEN
68%
20%
12%
36 45 9 -1
29 May. 2012
ZEN
Zenit Penza
0 - 1
Podolye Podolskiy Rayon
POD
39%
26%
36%
37 40 3 -1