FK Orel vs Spartak Tambov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
12º
10º
44
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KPP
3 - 2
ORE
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 2
KHI
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
ORE
72%
17%
12%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 0
ORE
90%
8%
3%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 1
MET
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 2
SAL
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZVE
1 - 1
SPA
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
FKK
29%
22%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 3
DIN
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 1
SPA
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |