FK Orel vs Spartak Tambov II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+485%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
3º
14
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ORE
9 - 1
YEL
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 8
ORE
6%
12%
83%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ORE
6 - 0
DIN
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
URO
0 - 2
ORE
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ORE
8 - 2
AVA
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Tambov II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 2
BGU
45%
21%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
5 - 1
FKS
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
MET
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 2
FKS
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
4 - 0
MET
35%
22%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |