FK Orel vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 0
ORE
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
ORE
0 - 2
CHE
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ORE
59%
25%
16%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
POD
1 - 2
ORE
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ORE
4 - 1
AVA
19%
24%
57%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +6 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
KAL
1 - 1
LOK
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
MET
2 - 1
KAL
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
KAL
2 - 1
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
KAL
0 - 2
ZEN
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 2
KAL
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |