FK Orel vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 0
ORE
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ORE
4 - 1
ZEN
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
ORE
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ORE
2 - 4
VIT
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
SOK
3 - 1
ORE
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
MET
0 - 1
KAL
59%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 2
SPA
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ZEN
0 - 1
KAL
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 4
AVA
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
KAL
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |