FK Orel vs FK Kaluga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
3º
10
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 2
ORE
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BGU
2 - 5
ORE
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FAK
0 - 5
ORE
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
7 - 1
FSB
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AKA
5 - 1
ORE
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FK Kaluga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2023 |
BGU
0 - 1
FKK
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ROT
5 - 0
FKK
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 3
YEL
8%
14%
79%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
3 - 0
FKK
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 1
FDB
65%
18%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |