FK Orel vs Gubkin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 0
ORE
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ORE
0 - 0
MET
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
POD
3 - 0
ORE
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ORE
0 - 0
SAL
22%
25%
52%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
7 - 2
ORE
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FKG
0 - 1
KAL
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
FKG
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
FKG
0 - 1
ZEN
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 0
FKG
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
FKG
0 - 2
AVA
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |