FK Orel vs Avangard Kursk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FSB
1 - 4
ORE
16%
19%
66%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
AKA
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MET
4 - 1
ORE
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 3
ATO
7%
13%
80%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
YEL
2 - 0
ORE
73%
16%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FAK
0 - 2
YEL
12%
16%
73%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LOK
8 - 2
FAK
90%
8%
2%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FAK
4 - 2
FML
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
FDB
2 - 2
FAK
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FAK
2 - 2
FKK
40%
22%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |