FK Orel vs Atom Novovoronezh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
80.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
3º
41
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 6
ORE
6%
12%
81%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
YEL
2 - 4
ORE
25%
21%
55%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ORE
2 - 0
FKK
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 2
ORE
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BGU
2 - 5
ORE
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atom Novovoronezh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ATO
2 - 1
BGU
94%
5%
1%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 2
ATO
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 1
MET
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 2
ATO
8%
14%
78%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ATO
6 - 0
MET
95%
4%
1%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |