FK Orel vs BGUOR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.1%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+1417%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
3º
10
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 3
LOK
4%
13%
83%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
ORE
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ORE
5 - 0
ROT
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ORE
2 - 4
ATO
7%
13%
81%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 6
ORE
6%
12%
81%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
BGUOR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 0
BGU
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LOK
6 - 0
BGU
94%
4%
1%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
BGU
0 - 4
MET
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ROT
4 - 0
BGU
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
BGU
2 - 0
MET
46%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |