FK Orel vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
KAL
4 - 0
ORE
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
ORE
0 - 1
DIN
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
FCM
0 - 3
ORE
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
ORE
0 - 2
ZVE
15%
23%
62%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORE
78%
15%
8%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 1
TAM
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
AVA
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
AVA
3 - 0
VYB
64%
20%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
POD
0 - 2
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
AVA
5 - 2
CHE
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |