FK Orel vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORE
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ORE
1 - 1
SOK
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
ZVE
4 - 1
ORE
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ORE
0 - 0
FKG
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 0
ORE
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
KAL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 3
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
ZEN
73%
17%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
MET
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
AVA
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |