FK Orel vs Avangard Kursk Ii analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
3º
13
6º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ORE
8 - 1
BGU
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 3
LOK
4%
13%
83%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
ORE
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ORE
5 - 0
ROT
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ORE
2 - 4
ATO
7%
13%
81%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk Ii
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 0
FKS
52%
20%
27%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 0
BGU
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LOK
4 - 0
AVA
94%
4%
1%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MET
10 - 0
AVA
92%
7%
2%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
FKK
28%
21%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |