Ordabasy vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
4º
1º
28
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ZHE
1 - 2
ORD
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ORD
1 - 0
MAQ
58%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORD
1 - 2
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
ORD
43%
25%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 0
ORD
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
TOB
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KAI
0 - 0
SHA
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 2
KAI
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAQ
3 - 1
SHA
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
OKZ
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |