Orcera CF vs Mogon CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ORC
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JOD
0 - 3
ORC
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ORC
1 - 4
SAN
20%
20%
60%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
ORC
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ORC
3 - 2
CDT
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mogon CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MOG
2 - 1
JOD
67%
16%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
MOG
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOG
3 - 1
SAN
29%
21%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDT
5 - 1
MOG
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOG
2 - 0
ATS
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |