Orcera CF vs Castillo Locubín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CDU
3 - 0
ORC
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ORC
3 - 1
CDR
25%
27%
49%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
ORC
71%
19%
10%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ORC
1 - 1
BAI
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ORC
2 - 3
FSV
16%
21%
63%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo Locubín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CLO
2 - 1
LIN
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 0
CLO
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CLO
1 - 5
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BET
0 - 1
CLO
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
PJI
8 - 1
CLO
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |