Orcasitas vs Union Deportiva Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcasitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
ORC
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ORC
1 - 0
ARG
24%
21%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
ORC
56%
22%
23%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ORC
1 - 4
ARG
15%
20%
66%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CMP
2 - 2
ORC
54%
22%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 2
EOA
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SMP
2 - 1
UNI
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
EMV
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
TAJ
3 - 1
UNI
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UNI
6 - 0
IVA
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |