Orcasitas vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcasitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ARY
3 - 0
ORC
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ORC
1 - 0
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 0
ORC
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
COL
2 - 2
ORC
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ORC
2 - 2
VLO
49%
25%
25%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CDF
1 - 1
ALA
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AVC
0 - 2
CDF
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CDF
1 - 2
ARG
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARY
0 - 0
CDF
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CDF
1 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |