Oratory Youths vs Luqa St. Andrew's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.5%
82.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
18.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratory Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ORA
0 - 3
VIC
6%
15%
80%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
KER
1 - 2
LUQ
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MSI
1 - 0
LUQ
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LUQ
0 - 2
VEN
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SEN
4 - 2
LUQ
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LUQ
0 - 3
SIG
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |