Oratorio vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
IAP
1 - 1
ORC
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
ORC
2 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
64%
21%
16%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
ORC
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TDC
0 - 0
ORC
58%
22%
19%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
SPM
65%
19%
15%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 1
SPM
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPM
1 - 0
SAN
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SPM
1 - 1
IAP
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
5 - 1
SPM
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |