Oratorio vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
ORC
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
ORC
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
ORC
0 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
ORC
1 - 0
MAC
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 2
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SPM
2 - 4
IAP
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
SPM
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 2
SPM
51%
23%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
4 - 0
SPM
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPM
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |