Oratorio vs São José AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 3
TDC
30%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 1
SEC
54%
22%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 0
SPM
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São José AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
SEC
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
IAP
3 - 2
SAO
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
37%
23%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 2
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
SPM
65%
19%
15%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |