Oratorio vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SEC
1 - 4
ORC
21%
19%
60%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ORC
1 - 1
POL
44%
22%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ORC
0 - 2
IAP
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
YAP
1 - 2
ORC
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ORC
2 - 0
CRI
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
TDC
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 0
SEC
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
POL
1 - 2
SAN
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
IAP
2 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
YAP
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |