Oratorio vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 3
TDC
30%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 1
SEC
54%
22%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 0
SPM
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
IAP
1 - 1
ORC
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
37%
23%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
IAP
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
TDC
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
ORC
2 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |