Oratorio vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
64%
21%
16%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
ORC
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TDC
0 - 0
ORC
58%
22%
19%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ORC
1 - 1
IAP
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ORC
5 - 1
SPM
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPM
1 - 0
SAN
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
YAP
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
TDC
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
TDC
1 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
18%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
ORC
0 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |