Oratorio vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
ORC
0 - 1
SPM
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TDC
0 - 3
ORC
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
ORC
1 - 4
SPM
35%
24%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
TDC
3 - 1
ORC
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
TDC
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SEC
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SEC
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
SPM
1 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ORC
0 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |