Oratorio vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
SEC
1 - 0
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
ORC
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
65%
20%
16%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 4
ORC
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
TDC
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 6
IAP
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPM
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 5
TDC
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |