Oratorio vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 1
IAP
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 2
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 3
SEC
64%
21%
16%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 2
SAN
49%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
IAP
2 - 2
SEC
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
SEC
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |