Oratorio vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 0
SPM
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
IAP
1 - 1
ORC
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
ORC
2 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
64%
21%
16%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
ORC
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 2
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
YAP
1 - 0
SEC
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 1
SPM
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 1
IAP
51%
22%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 1
TDC
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |