Amapaense Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Oratorio vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
43.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 0
IAP
29%
22%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 1
ORC
55%
21%
25%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TDC
2 - 0
ORC
50%
22%
29%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 1
SAN
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 0
IAP
29%
22%
48%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 1
ORC
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
IAP
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SEC
1 - 1
IAP
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |