Amapaense Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Oratorio vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
54.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
ORC
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
3 - 0
SPM
55%
20%
26%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
ORC
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
YAP
1 - 1
ORC
26%
22%
53%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
IAP
1 - 4
TDC
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ECM
1 - 2
IAP
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 6
IAP
17%
18%
64%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
ORC
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 0
SPM
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |