Oratorio vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
51.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ORC
1 - 3
GOI
5%
12%
83%
|
35 | 78 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 0
SEC
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 1
IAP
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 2
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
IAP
3 - 4
SAN
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
IAP
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SPM
3 - 1
IAP
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
IAP
1 - 3
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SEC
0 - 1
IAP
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |