Oratorio vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 2
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 3
TDC
30%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
IAP
1 - 4
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 2
IAP
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
IAP
2 - 2
SEC
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
YAP
3 - 1
IAP
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
IAP
3 - 2
SAO
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |