Oratorio vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ORC
5 - 1
SPM
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
ORC
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
ORC
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
ORC
0 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
ORC
1 - 0
MAC
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SPM
2 - 4
IAP
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
IAP
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
IAP
64%
20%
17%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
IAP
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
TDC
0 - 0
IAP
62%
21%
18%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |