Oratorio Urago Mella vs Unitas Coccaglio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio Urago Mella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 0
ORA
21%
22%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 0
ORA
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ORA
5 - 1
PIA
34%
23%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 3
ORA
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
ORA
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unitas Coccaglio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
OME
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 3
GIO
21%
22%
58%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 0
UNI
72%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 1
UNI
60%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |