Oratorio Urago Mella vs Serle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+580%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio Urago Mella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOD
0 - 0
ORA
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ORA
3 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 0
ORA
21%
22%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 0
ORA
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ORA
5 - 1
PIA
34%
23%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Serle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
OME
25%
23%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GIO
1 - 2
SER
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 0
SER
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
CAS
25%
23%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAP
5 - 1
SER
85%
10%
4%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |