Oratorio Urago Mella vs Cazzagobornato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio Urago Mella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
ORA
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 2
CAP
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
ORA
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ORA
0 - 1
CEL
81%
12%
6%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SER
0 - 1
ORA
9%
16%
75%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cazzagobornato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
OME
85%
11%
5%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GIO
0 - 0
CAZ
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 4
CAZ
18%
21%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 2
CAS
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 1
CAZ
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |