Oratorio Calvenzano vs Basiano Masate Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio Calvenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VER
0 - 0
ORA
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ORA
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ORA
3 - 0
CIV
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAV
0 - 1
ORA
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BER
4 - 0
ORA
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Basiano Masate Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
MON
42%
24%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 2
BAS
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
CAV
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 2
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
COR
1 - 3
BAS
30%
23%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |