Orapa United FC vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orapa United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ORA
1 - 1
MOG
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GAB
2 - 1
ORA
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ORA
1 - 1
BOT
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
ORA
1 - 2
GAL
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
ORA
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
MOW
0 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BRH
0 - 0
BOT
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
ORA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
BRH
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
MOG
2 - 3
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |