Oranje Nassau vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ORA
0 - 2
BLA
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SVI
0 - 2
ORA
37%
21%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ORA
2 - 2
PKC
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PEL
2 - 1
ORA
23%
21%
57%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ORA
4 - 2
VVG
91%
6%
3%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LEE
2 - 3
SVI
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BRO
1 - 0
LEE
46%
21%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LEE
2 - 1
OLD
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
VVG
5 - 2
LEE
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LEE
0 - 2
NOO
15%
17%
68%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |